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October 18, 2004

Self fulfilling prophesy

I've had some email this weekend and today about the polls..some showing Kerry ahead...others showing Bush ahead...some showing a tie.

I find the polls to be stupid at best...self fulfilling prophesy at worst.

As EDM point out, polling data is breaking Kerry's way. Yet the chatter is all about Kerry's momentum coming to a hault.

The spin is that Bush has momentum despite three debate losses, upticks in American casualties in Iraq, a lackluster stock market and economic picture and fears of more terrorist attacks. The reason? Apparently Mary Cheney. That's inspid as hell.

In 2000, Gallup had Bush up by 13 points going into Election Day. Today they have Bush up by 8.

I'll take that poll...because after watching 2000 that's a net loss of 5 points for Bush. In other words, Bush loses.

Fine by me.

Posted by Carla at October 18, 2004 03:11 PM